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Market Snapshot: Dow aims for gains early Monday but rising bond yields slam tech stocks

U.S. stocks open mostly higher Monday, with tech-related shares coming under additional selling pressure after the passage of a coronavirus relief package in the Senate. Read More...

U.S. stocks opened mostly higher Monday, with tech-related shares coming under additional selling pressure as government bond yields extended their climb following Senate passage of a $1.9 trillion COVID-19 relief package.

What are major benchmarks doing?
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.65% gained 104 points, or 0.3%, to open near 31,602.
  • The S&P 500 SPX, +0.22% lost 4 points, 0.1%, and traded near 3,836.
  • The Nasdaq Composite COMP, -0.28% dropped 93 points, or 0.7%, to about 12,827.

Stocks are coming off a volatile week that ended Friday with a sharp rebound from the previous session’s rout. The moves left the Dow with a weekly gain of 1.8%, while the S&P 500 rose 0.8%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite posted its biggest intraday rebound in a year on Friday, but suffered a weekly fall of 2.1%.

What’s driving the market?

Expectations that aggressive fiscal spending coupled with a rapidly reopening economy as vaccine rollouts continue have fueled expectations for at least a near-term surge in inflation. That, in turn, has contributed to a rise in bond yields which has helped fuel a rotation away from growth-oriented stocks with high valuations toward stocks that have been left behind in the stock market’s post-COVID recovery.

“This is what I call a stealth correction,” said Keith Lerner, chief market strategist for Truist Advisory Services. “Money isn’t leaving the market, it’s adjusting. This is a reset concentrated in the area that were most frothy.”

After a few weeks of intense selling, some of last year’s highfliers may be oversold, Lerner told MarketWatch, and the correction may be nearly over. “I think we’ll start to see the 10-year stabilize. The overall trends still look fine as a whole. This is a grind-higher market: two steps forward, one step back.”

“Despite the indices having occasional stellar days, the overall trend of the market remains in a pullback phase that has yet to be completed,” said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities, in a note.

“The adjustment to higher yields, however, has created new leadership resulting in an uneven market performance that will continue until yields begin to level off. We
reiterate that the pullback is likely to result in an 8% -10% decline from the market’s 52-week highs,” Cardillo wrote.

The 10-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD10Y, 1.603% touched the highest level in over a year Friday before pulling back somewhat, booking its fifth straight weekly rise. Yields, which move in the opposite direction of prices, continued to increase, with the rate on the 10-year note up nearly 2 basis points at 1.588%.

The Senate on Saturday narrowly passed a $1.9 trillion COVID-19 relief package, which now goes back to the Democratic-controlled House. The House is expected to approve it by the end of the week, giving President Joe Biden an early legislative victory.

Economic Preview: The U.S. economy is ready to surge again. So is inflation

The economic calendar is light featuring data on January wholesale inventories at 10 a.m. Eastern.

Read: Housing is a luxury? Here’s what the K-shaped recovery means for real estate

Which companies are in focus?
How are other assets faring?
  • The dollar was trading up 0.2%, as measured by the ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, +0.19%, to 92.20.
  • Oil futures ticked lower, with the U.S. benchmark CL.1, -0.35% trading down 0.4%, near $65.85 a barrel. Crude prices surged Sunday, with global benchmark Brent crude BRN00, -0.46% briefly topping $71 a barrel after Saudi Arabia said its biggest oil storage facility and export terminal suffered drone and missile attacks by Yemen’s Houthi rebels.
  • Gold futures GC00, -0.53%  lost 0.4%, to trade near $1,691.40, as rising yields took some of the luster from the precious metal.
  • European stocks gained, with the pan-European Stoxx 600 index SXXP, +1.44%  up 1.2% and London’s FTSE 100 UKX, +0.64%  0.2% higher.
  • Stocks pulled back in Asia: the Shanghai Composite SHCOMP slid 2.3%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index HSI lost 1.9%, and China’s CSI 300 000300 tumbled 3.5%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 NIK shed 0.4%.

Read: 5 reasons why negative repo rates are different than the last overnight-funding crisis

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