Recession worries were back in the spotlight for Wall Street on Wednesday, with equity futures and oil prices dropping, as investors looked ahead to Congressional testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.
How are stock-index futures trading?
- S&P 500 futures ES00, -1.57% dropped 1.4%, to 3,715
- Dow Jones Industrial Average futures YM00, -1.43% dropped 382 points, or 1%, to 30,144
- Nasdaq-100 futures NQ00, -1.62% fell 1.6% to 11,393
Following a long holiday weekend, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +2.15% rallied 641.47 points, or 2.2%, to finish at 30,530.25 on Tuesday. The S&P 500 SPX, +2.45% rose 2.5% to 3,764.79, and the Nasdaq Composite COMP, +2.51% climbed 2.5%, to finish at 11,069.30.
Those gains followed the worst week for the S&P 500 in two years, with the Dow and Nasdaq also suffering sharp losses.
What’s driving the market?
The pullback looming for Wall Street stocks on Wednesday was unlikely to come as a surprise to analysts who were saying Tuesday that the rebound was nothing more than an oversold bounce. Shares of growth and technology companies slipped. Tesla Inc TSLA, +9.35% was down 2.3% in premarket trade, after gaining 9.3% Tuesday in its best one-day performance since Jan 31. Asian equities largely ignored the U.S. rally and oil prices fell, as investors refocused on recession worries and expectations for continued tighter monetary.
Some analysts on Wall Street warned clients at the start of the week that markets were still not correctly pricing in the likelihood of recession.
“The bear market will not be over until recession arrives or the risk of one is extinguished,” said Morgan Stanley’s chief U.S. equity strategist Mike Wilson in a note on Tuesday. He said another 15% to 20% drop should be expected, taking the S&P 500 index to 3,000.
Investors will be scanning comments from Fed Chairman Powell on Wednesday for more monetary policy clues as he testifies in front of the Senate Banking Committee starting at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time.
“The FOMO [fear of missing out] gnomes of Wall Street will be desperately looking for signs he is blinking on tightening so that they can rush back into their buy-the-dip happy place,” Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst at OANDA, told clients in a note.
Other Fed speakers are also lined up for Wednesday, including Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, via an interview at 9 a.m. Eastern, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans at 12:50 p.m. Eastern and Harker and Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin who will jointly appear on a panel discussion at 1:30 p.m. Eastern.
While stocks were set to fall, money was flowing into traditional havens such as bonds. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note TMUBMUSD10Y, 3.186% fell 7.8 basis points to 3.208%, a day after its biggest jump in seven days. Yields and debt prices move opposite each other.
U.S. crude oil prices CL.1, -6.13% dropped 5.2% to $103.86 a barrel, with Brent BRN00, -5.60% down close to that at $109.32 a barrel, with both more than giving back Tuesday’s rise. Devon Energy DVN, +4.38% and Marathon Oil MRO, +3.11% dropped about 5% each in premarket trading to lead losses among the oil and gas companies.
In addition to demand worries fueled by recession concerns, the White House on Wednesday said it is calling on Congress to suspend the federal gasoline tax for three months while also asking states to provide similar relief.
The federal government charges an 18 cent tax per gallon of gasoline and a 24 cent tax per gallon of diesel. A “gasoline tax holiday, while supporting consumers, would support demand, thereby prolong the period of tightness,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, in a note to clients.
Which companies are in focus?
- Swedish biometrics company Fingerprint Cards AB 0RGY, +0.49% ‘ shares fell 6.2%, as the company said Wednesday that its chairman has stepped down after being found guilty of insider trading.
How are other assets trading?
- The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, -0.01%, a measure of the currency against a basket of six major rivals, rose just under 0.1%.
- Gold futures GC00, +0.43% went up 0.04% to $1,839.6 an ounce
- The Stoxx Europe 600 SXXP, -1.53% fell 1.4% while London’s FTSE 100 UKX, -1.33% declined 1.3%.
- The Shanghai Composite SHCOMP, -1.20% fell 1.2%, while the Hang Seng Index HSI, -2.56% HSI, -2.56% dropped 2.6% and Japan’s Nikkei 225 NIK, -0.37% slipped 0.4%.