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The Fed: Retail sales look strong, with a solid gain in May and an upward revision to prior month

Retail sales rose a solid 0.5% in May and were revised up sharply in the prior month, the Commerce Department said Friday. Read More...
Bloomberg News

Shoppers walk past stores at a mall in Chicago.

The numbers: Reports of the death of the American consumer were greatly exaggerated as the May retail sales data rose at a solid pace and the decline in the prior month was revised to show a gain.

Retail sales increased 0.5% in May, with broad-based gains, the Commerce Department said Friday. Economists polled by MarketWatch had forecast a solid 0.7% gain.

There was a big rise in auto sales, but the even when that was stripped out, retail sales rose 0.5%, the government said.

April sales were revised up to a 0.3% gain from a the intial report of a 0.2% fall.

What happened: Almost all categories showed gains in May. The only decline were food and beverage stores, department stores, miscellaneous stores and clothing.

Electronic store sales jumped 1.1% in May. Health and personal care stores also had a strong sales gain.

Auto sales rose 0.7%. They account for about one-fifth of all retail sales. Retail sales excluding autos and gas also rose 0.5%.

“Nonstore” retail sales rose 1.4% in May, the strongest gain since January.

Big picture: Retail sales have been choppy this year, raising some doubts about the health of the overall economy. Economists have been counting on consumers to keep spending at a health level to prolong an expansion that will set a record for the longest ever later this summer.

The solid report may allow the Federal Reserve to wait a bit before cutting interest rates. After the weak job report for May, some economists thought the Fed might ease as soon as next week to bolster what was perceived as a slowing economy. The market is now expecting the Fed to cut rates in July. Some prominent economists, like the team at Goldman Sachs, think expectations of a rate cut over overdone and the central bank will remain on hold this year.

Market reaction: The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.39%  was set to open lower on Friday on weak Chinese data. The index has been up seven of the last nine trading days.

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