We recently compiled a list of the 16 Most Undervalued Tech Stocks To Buy Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Twilio Inc. (NYSE:TWLO) stands against the other undervalued tech stocks.
Artificial Intelligence and Data Centers
Artificial intelligence is the hot center of the technology industry, especially with the introduction of Large Language Models (LLMs) like ChatGPT and Gemini. The AI revolution, which is underway, has affected the semiconductor market and we have seen chipmaker stocks skyrocket with it. However, semiconductor stocks are not the only beneficiaries, data centers also benefit greatly from the surge in AI.
According to Future Market Intelligence, the data center market is estimated at around $30.4 billion during 2024, it is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 14.4% to reach $117.24 billion by 2034. Data centers were in demand before the AI boom as well, with data from Jefferies showing their demand rising 10% to 20% for the last 15 years before AI. However, AI accelerated the market to around 30% in just two years.
The capabilities of data centers and artificial intelligence are revolutionary, but that doesn’t overshadow the energy consumption concerns that come with them. As highlighted by Goldman Sachs Research, data centers consume around 1% to 2% of overall power worldwide, which seems manageable at first. However, they are likely to rise from 3% to 4% in just a decade.
We recently covered 15 Best Data Center Stocks To Buy According to Jefferies, Citi and Wall Street Analysts. It talks about the alarming power consumption challenge that comes with AI and data centers. Here’s an excerpt from the article:
“Naturally, since the US is responsible for ushering in AI, AI energy consumption in America is higher than that in other countries. According to the Boston Consulting Group, by 2030, AI power consumption will account for 16% of all of America’s energy use. It is expected to grow by 15% to 20% annually and touch as much as 130 GW, or the amount of electricity that’s used by 100 million homes. AI chip companies are also aware of these trends, with the latest AI chips promising to improve energy efficiency by 25x. Improving AI performance at the semiconductor level is important especially since some areas where data centers are growing are being forced to turn to coal power to reduce the power gap.”
While the expected power consumption figures are concerning, they also point towards a new market opportunity to introduce “sustainable AI factories”. Tim Rosenfield co-founder and co-CEO of Sustainable Metal Cloud, has introduced HyperCubes, which reduces energy consumption by up to 50%.
HyperCubes contains servers fitted with Nvidia processors, submerged in synthetic oil called polyalphaolefin. Synthetic oil draws heat from the processors more efficiently than air cooling systems typically used in most data centers.
These cubes are being used in Singapore and Australia. Tim Rosenfield mentioned that the technology enables high-density hosting for GPUs and that too sustainably with low energy consumption. The technology is also said to be 28% cheaper to install as compared to traditional cooling systems and is designed to be used in any data center around the globe.
The co-founder of SMC further mentioned that countries like Singapore are looking to push the “green” button for data centers and AI ambitions and the country has committed more than $379.7 million to the cause.
Countries like Singapore, where SMC is headquartered, are also looking to mitigate the hefty energy consumption by pushing for “green” data centers to support its AI ambitions where the country has committed more than 500 million Singapore dollars ($379.7 million). The company has also recently received funding from Singapore state investor Temasek-backed ST Telemedia Global Data Centers, one of Asia’s largest data center operators.
Our Methodology
To curate the list of 16 most undervalued tech stocks to buy now we first identified 50 undervalued tech stocks that were most widely held by hedge funds. We looked at stocks that were trading under 20 times their forward earnings (the market’s P/E multiple is ~23x as of August 28, according to WSJ data), with earnings expected to grow during the year. Once we had an aggregated list of 50 undervalued tech stocks, we ranked them by short percentage of shares outstanding as of 8/15/2024, sourced from Yahoo Finance.
Why do we care about what hedge funds do? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
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Twilio Inc. (NYSE:TWLO)
Short % of Shares Outstanding: 1.36%
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 54
Forward Price to Earnings Ratio as of August 28: 18.30
Twilio Inc. (NYSE:TWLO) is a cloud communication specialist that allows companies to improve their customer communications through its customer engagement platform (CEP). The company allows its customers to reach their audience through voice, text, emails, and other mediums.
Investors had forgotten about the stock due to its weak performance previously, however, thanks to its AI integration the company delivered cheerful results during its second quarter of 2024. Twilio Inc. (NYSE:TWLO) reported revenue growth of 4% year-over-year to $1.08 billion and organic growth of 7%. The company exceeded its original guidance range of $1.05 billion to $1.06 billion.
While revenue growth is impressive, what’s more notable are the factors that led to this growth. The company was able to improve its active customer base from 304,000 customers a year ago to 316,000 customers during Q2 2024. Moreover, Twilio Inc. (NYSE:TWLO) also witnessed improvement in customer spending as its dollar-based net expansion was 102% during the last quarter.
For context, dollar-based net expansion means that the company was able to generate more income from its existing customer base. This improvement was mainly due to its adoption of AI in its customer service space, which is expected to keep the growth needle moving in the long run.
TWLO is also trading at a 25% discount to its sector and its earnings are expected to grow by 38.40% during the year to reach $3.39. Thus, making it an undervalued tech stock to buy now.
54 hedge funds held the stock in Q2 2024, with stakes totaling $1.95 billion. Generation Investment Management is the top share holder of the company with a position worth $338.55 million.
Aristotle Atlantic Focus Growth Strategy made the following comment about Twilio Inc. (NYSE:TWLO) in its Q4 2022 investor letter:
“We sold Twilio Inc. (NYSE:TWLO) and thereby reduced our subsector weight in software. The company reported a decent third quarter, but disappointed on fourth quarter 2022, full year 2023, and long-term guidance. The company is seeing macroeconomic headwinds and a slowdown spreading from technology, social media and cryptocurrency to retail and e-commerce. The other negative disclosure and a driver of this gross margin “miss” was that Twilio’s software sales are not accelerating at the rate that we expected. We are disappointed with this lower topline and low operating margin improvement guidance. The business transformation is taking longer than expected, and there is the heightened possibility that the new software growth could be stifled by more formidable competition as Twilio has made too many missteps.”
Overall TWLO ranks 7th on our list of the most undervalued tech stocks to buy now. While we acknowledge the potential of TWLO as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for a promising AI stock that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.
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