3rdPartyFeeds

What to Expect from Nvidia (NVDA) Q1 Earnings Amid Semiconductor Market Downturn

Let's take a look at what investors should expect from Nvidia's Q1 fiscal 2020 earnings and revenue after the closing bell Thursday. Read More...

Nvidia NVDA stock slipped 1.5% during regular trading hours Wednesday, just one day before the firm is scheduled to release its Q1 fiscal 2020 financial results. Until recently, shares of the graphics GPU power had soared in 2019, along with the broader market, thanks mostly to its late 2018 selloff.

Shares of Nvidia are now down 15% over the last month as investors and Wall Street start to appreciate just how bad things look for the overall semiconductor market at the moment. So, let’s take a look at what investors should expect from Nvidia’s earnings and revenue after the closing bell Thursday.

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Quick Overview ” data-reactid=”13″>Quick Overview

Nvidia was hurt by the cyclical nature of the chip industry last quarter, along with lower demand from cryptocurrency miners, and other headwinds. CEO Jensen Huang called the fourth quarter “an extraordinary, unusually turbulent, and disappointing quarter.”

Meanwhile, fellow chip makers Intel INTC, Advanced Micro Devices AMD, Micron MU, and Lam Research LRCX have already reported their quarterly earnings. Overall, total Q1 earnings for chip companies that have reported results are down -18.5% from the same period last year on -5.5% lower revenues. Plus, research firm International Data Corporation said on Wednesday that it expects global semiconductor revenue to fall by 7.2% in 2019, on the back of subdued smartphones sales, which includes Apple AAPL, and lower Chinese demand.

Shares of NVDA are still up roughly 19% in 2019, which helps them outpace the S&P 500’s 12% climb and its industry’s 6.1%. Despite the recent positivity, Nvidia has seen its stock price fall over 35% in the last 12 months. Nvidia stock closed regular trading Wednesday at $159.58 per share, 55% below its 52-week intraday trading high of $292.76.

 

 

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Outlook &amp; Earnings Trends” data-reactid=”26″>Outlook & Earnings Trends

Nvidia’s Q1 fiscal 2020 revenue is projected to sink 31.4% from the year-ago period to hit $2.20 billion, based on our current Zacks Consensus Estimates. This would mark a bigger downturn than Q4 2019’s 24% fall. Looking ahead to the second quarter, NVDA’s revenue is expected to drop by 19.5%.

It is worth noting that the company’s full-year revenue is projected to slip just 5.7% to $11.05 billion. Plus, the GPU power’s fiscal 2021 revenue is expected to climb 21.5% above our current-year estimate to reach $13.24 billion. This would easily top last year’s company-record of $11.72 billion, which should help show investors that the downturn isn’t projected to last long.

At the other end of the income statement, Nvidia’s adjusted Q1 earnings are projected to plummet 60% to $0.82 a share. The company’s full-year EPS figure is then expected to sink nearly 20%. However, like its top-line, Nvidia’s fiscal 2021 earnings are projected to surge back over 37% above our current-year estimate.

Investors will also notice that NVDA’s stock price has tumbled as its current-year consensus earnings estimate continues to fall. Jumping back, we can see that positive estimates coincided with a massive climb for Nvidia stock and vice versa.

 

 

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Bottom Line” data-reactid=”44″>Bottom Line

Nvidia is currently a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) based, in large part, on its recent positive longer-term earnings estimate revision activity. But, buying stocks prior to earnings can be a bit risky, especially amid the current semiconductor market conditions. Therefore, it might be best for interested investors to wait to see how the company actually performs and what type of guidance management provides.

Nvidia is scheduled to release its Q1 fiscal 2020 earnings results after the closing bell on Thursday, May 16. Make sure to come back to Zacks for a complete breakdown of the firm’s actual quarterly earnings results. 

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="Will you retire a millionaire?

One out of every six people retires a multimillionaire. Get smart tips you can do today to become one of them in a new Special Report, “7 Things You Can Do Now to Retire a Multimillionaire.”

Click to get it free &gt;&gt;” data-reactid=”47″>Will you retire a millionaire?

One out of every six people retires a multimillionaire. Get smart tips you can do today to become one of them in a new Special Report, “7 Things You Can Do Now to Retire a Multimillionaire.”

Click to get it free >>

<p class="canvas-atom canvas-text Mb(1.0em) Mb(0)–sm Mt(0.8em)–sm" type="text" content="
Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report
&nbsp;
Apple Inc. (AAPL) : Free Stock Analysis Report
&nbsp;
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) : Free Stock Analysis Report
&nbsp;
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) : Free Stock Analysis Report
&nbsp;
Intel Corporation (INTC) : Free Stock Analysis Report
&nbsp;
Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) : Free Stock Analysis Report
&nbsp;
Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) : Free Stock Analysis Report
&nbsp;
To read this article on Zacks.com click here.
&nbsp;
Zacks Investment Research” data-reactid=”48″>
Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report
 
Apple Inc. (AAPL) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Intel Corporation (INTC) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
To read this article on Zacks.com click here.
 
Zacks Investment Research

Read More

Add Comment

Click here to post a comment